Country profile · Rank 100 of 108 · Emerging Upside
Serbia compute capacity
Serbia runs about 30 MW of live datacenter capacity as of 7 September 2026, a Gross Domestic Compute of $1.5B (an estimate). Its identified energy resource could host about 7.8 GW of AI compute, a ceiling worth $500B to $600B at today's price of a gigawatt, about 6 times its $100B GDP. The bankable slice today, discounted mainly for governance and capital markets, is $25B, or $3,750 per person. Serbia is emerging upside, ranked 100 of 108 countries by unlockable value.
Key numbers
| Live datacenter capacity | 30 MW | IT capacity, mid-2026. Estimate: below the top 35 markets. |
|---|---|---|
| Live compute (GDC) | $1.5B | Live GW × $50B, the central price of an AI factory. |
| Resource ceiling | 7.8 GW | Identified hydro, geothermal, solar, wind and surplus fossil resource. |
| Ceiling value | $500B to $600B | Ceiling GW × $60 to 80B per GW, NVIDIA's all-in figure. |
| Ceiling as a multiple of GDP | 6× | High end over nominal GDP of $100B (IMF). |
| Unlockable value | $25B | Firm untapped GW × $50B × readiness. The bankable slice. |
| Unlockable per person | $3,750 | IMF population, 2026. |
| Built | 48.4% | Hydro and geothermal already installed, over the ceiling. |
| Readiness | 60% | Eight-part discount. Binding: governance and capital markets. |
| Conversion score | 25 | 0 to 100. Unchanged since 19 Aug. |
| Tier | Emerging Upside | In between: a narrower gap, and a real one. |
| Rank | 100 of 108 | By unlockable value. 22 of 25 in Europe. |
Three numbers, one scale
Ceiling is what the endowment could host; unlockable is the slice underwriters would sign today; live compute is what runs. Drawn on one linear scale on purpose: the gap is the point.
Projects on the ground
No sovereign AI factory for Serbia is on the register yet. Announcements, contracts and stalls are tracked as reported; send one to the desk.
Europe: how Serbia compares
| # | Country | Unlockable | Live compute | Readiness | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | $2.7T | $30B | 43% | Sleeping Giant | |
| 36 | $414B | $50B | 83% | Incumbent | |
| 41 | $363B | $20B | 80% | Incumbent | |
| 43 | $339B | $25B | 95% | Primed | |
| 47 | $324B | $5.0B | 90% | Primed | |
| 50 | $297B | $15B | 95% | Primed | |
| 64 | $206B | $20B | 96% | Primed | |
| 65 | $200B | $130B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 67 | $197B | $150B | 90% | Incumbent | |
| 68 | $197B | $5.0B | 84% | Primed | |
| 69 | $190B | $4.0B | 67% | Primed | |
| 71 | $183B | $5.0B | 73% | Primed | |
| 74 | $180B | $10B | 79% | Incumbent | |
| 75 | $179B | $20B | 79% | Incumbent | |
| 76 | $177B | $65B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 78 | $173B | $20B | 96% | Incumbent | |
| 80 | $170B | $55B | 94% | Incumbent | |
| 83 | $148B | $2.5B | 41% | Sleeping Giant | |
| 97 | $31B | $2.5B | 67% | Primed | |
| 98 | $30B | $7.5B | 89% | Incumbent | |
| 99 | $26B | under $1B | 55% | Emerging Upside | |
| 100 | $25B | $1.5B | 60% | Emerging Upside | |
| 101 | $25B | $15B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 104 | $13B | under $1B | 56% | Emerging Upside | |
| 106 | $10B | $5.0B | 84% | Incumbent |
What compute costs right now
The price of the silicon a country would host, from the tape. Labeled buy-now prints from named venues.
Questions people ask
How much data center capacity does Serbia have?
Serbia runs about 30 MW of live datacenter IT capacity as of 7 Sep 2026, an estimate: country totals below the top 35 markets are estimated. Valued at $50B per gigawatt, that is a Gross Domestic Compute of $1.5B.
What is Serbia's compute net worth?
The ceiling is $500B to $600B: 7.8 GW of identified hydro, geothermal, solar, wind and surplus fossil resource valued at $60 to 80B per gigawatt, NVIDIA's all-in figure for an AI factory. That is 6 times Serbia's $100B GDP. The bankable slice today, after a readiness discount of 60%, is $25B.
What holds Serbia back from converting its energy into compute?
Readiness scores 60% on an eight-part discount stack (governance, stability, GPU access, grid, fiber, momentum, physical conditions and capital access). For Serbia the binding discounts are governance and capital markets. It has built 48.4% of its ceiling as generating capacity, and its conversion score is 25 of 100.
How does Serbia compare with its neighbours?
Serbia ranks 100 of 108 countries by unlockable value, and 22 of 25 in Europe. The regional leader is Russia at $2.7T unlockable and $30B of live compute.
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