Country profile · Rank 6 of 108 · Sleeping Giant
Russia compute capacity
Russia runs about 600 MW of live datacenter capacity as of 7 September 2026, a Gross Domestic Compute of $30B. Its identified energy resource could host about 731 GW of AI compute, a ceiling worth $43.8 to 58.5T at today's price of a gigawatt, about 23 times its $2,588B GDP. The bankable slice today, discounted mainly for chip access and governance, is $2.7T, or $18,900 per person. Russia is a sleeping giant, ranked 6 of 108 countries by unlockable value.
Key numbers
| Live datacenter capacity | 600 MW | IT capacity, mid-2026, compiled from industry and national sources. |
|---|---|---|
| Live compute (GDC) | $30B | Live GW × $50B, the central price of an AI factory. |
| Resource ceiling | 731 GW | Identified hydro, geothermal, solar, wind and surplus fossil resource. |
| Ceiling value | $43.8 to 58.5T | Ceiling GW × $60 to 80B per GW, NVIDIA's all-in figure. |
| Ceiling as a multiple of GDP | 23× | High end over nominal GDP of $2,588B (IMF). |
| Unlockable value | $2.7T | Firm untapped GW × $50B × readiness. The bankable slice. |
| Unlockable per person | $18,900 | IMF population, 2026. |
| Built | 7.4% | Hydro and geothermal already installed, over the ceiling. |
| Readiness | 43% | Eight-part discount. Binding: chip access and governance. |
| Conversion score | 7 | 0 to 100. Unchanged since 19 Aug. |
| Tier | Sleeping Giant | Ceiling at least 10× GDP, readiness under 65%. The endowment is real and the to-do list is long. |
| Rank | 6 of 108 | By unlockable value. 1 of 25 in Europe. |
Three numbers, one scale
Ceiling is what the endowment could host; unlockable is the slice underwriters would sign today; live compute is what runs. Drawn on one linear scale on purpose: the gap is the point.
Projects on the ground
No sovereign AI factory for Russia is on the register yet. Announcements, contracts and stalls are tracked as reported; send one to the desk.
Europe: how Russia compares
| # | Country | Unlockable | Live compute | Readiness | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | $2.7T | $30B | 43% | Sleeping Giant | |
| 36 | $414B | $50B | 83% | Incumbent | |
| 41 | $363B | $20B | 80% | Incumbent | |
| 43 | $339B | $25B | 95% | Primed | |
| 47 | $324B | $5.0B | 90% | Primed | |
| 50 | $297B | $15B | 95% | Primed | |
| 64 | $206B | $20B | 96% | Primed | |
| 65 | $200B | $130B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 67 | $197B | $150B | 90% | Incumbent | |
| 68 | $197B | $5.0B | 84% | Primed | |
| 69 | $190B | $4.0B | 67% | Primed | |
| 71 | $183B | $5.0B | 73% | Primed | |
| 74 | $180B | $10B | 79% | Incumbent | |
| 75 | $179B | $20B | 79% | Incumbent | |
| 76 | $177B | $65B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 78 | $173B | $20B | 96% | Incumbent | |
| 80 | $170B | $55B | 94% | Incumbent | |
| 83 | $148B | $2.5B | 41% | Sleeping Giant | |
| 97 | $31B | $2.5B | 67% | Primed | |
| 98 | $30B | $7.5B | 89% | Incumbent | |
| 99 | $26B | under $1B | 55% | Emerging Upside | |
| 100 | $25B | $1.5B | 60% | Emerging Upside | |
| 101 | $25B | $15B | 93% | Incumbent | |
| 104 | $13B | under $1B | 56% | Emerging Upside | |
| 106 | $10B | $5.0B | 84% | Incumbent |
What compute costs right now
The price of the silicon a country would host, from the tape. Labeled buy-now prints from named venues.
Questions people ask
How much data center capacity does Russia have?
Russia runs about 600 MW of live datacenter IT capacity as of 7 Sep 2026, compiled from SemiAnalysis, Cushman & Wakefield, Rystad, Knight Frank and national reports. Valued at $50B per gigawatt, that is a Gross Domestic Compute of $30B.
What is Russia's compute net worth?
The ceiling is $43.8 to 58.5T: 731 GW of identified hydro, geothermal, solar, wind and surplus fossil resource valued at $60 to 80B per gigawatt, NVIDIA's all-in figure for an AI factory. That is 23 times Russia's $2,588B GDP. The bankable slice today, after a readiness discount of 43%, is $2.7T.
What holds Russia back from converting its energy into compute?
Readiness scores 43% on an eight-part discount stack (governance, stability, GPU access, grid, fiber, momentum, physical conditions and capital access). For Russia the binding discounts are chip access and governance. It has built 7.4% of its ceiling as generating capacity, and its conversion score is 7 of 100.
How does Russia compare with its neighbours?
Russia ranks 6 of 108 countries by unlockable value, and 1 of 25 in Europe. The regional leader is Russia at $2.7T unlockable and $30B of live compute.
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